TAKEAWAYS ON FANNIE,
FREDDIE EARNINGS
Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are sending $10.2 billion to the U.S. Treasury after reporting combined first-quarter profits of $9.3 billion.
But Thursday’s earnings reports hinted at a possible cooling off in the profits of both companies, which have benefited from large one-time gains over the past several quarters. They also suggested a modestly softer housing demand. Here are five takeaways:
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Fannie reported pre-tax income of $7.9 billion, of which $4.1 billion came in legal settlements that aren’t likely to be repeated. Freddie reported pre-tax income of $5.8 billion, with $4.9 billion in legal settlements.In recent quarters, the companies have also benefited from a big rebound in home prices. The rebound has allowed them to release reserves as expected losses failed to materialize and to reclaim certain tax benefits that had been written down in 2008. The tax benefits alone accounted for roughly half of profits last year. Executives at both firms acknowledged that earnings in 2014 were likely to be substantially lower than last year.Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie will have sent $213 billion to Treasury by the end of June, around $26 billion more than the amount the Treasury sunk into both companies.
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The companies are also facing much lower mortgage production volumes after the number of homeowners refinancing their mortgages plunged following last summer’s jump up in interest rates.Fannie and Freddie’s core businesses consist primarily of two activities: insuring mortgages that are packaged into bonds, and investing in mortgages directly. The latter business, once the source of huge profits but also greater volatility, is being wound down. The loan-guarantee business will account for a greater part of the business going forward, and some analysts say guarantee fees would need to rise to make that business more attractive to private investors who have argued that the firms should be recapitalized.If Freddie faced capital standards comparable to what exists for other large banks or insurance companies, loan-guarantee fees today would “earn a return that is less than what private investors would want by a modest amount,” said Donald Layton, the company’s CEO.
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Fannie’s inventory of foreclosed homes grew from the year-earlier level for the first time since 2011. Though the 102,398 foreclosed properties it held at the end of March was down slightly from the end of last year, it was up 0.9% from a year earlier, a sign that there has been less demand from buyers at current prices. “The level of activity has declined somewhat,” said Fannie CEO Timothy Mayopoulos on a call with reporters Thursday. Investors, which had been scarfing up foreclosed homes, have retreated because “there aren’t as many bargains out there as there used to be,” he said.On average, Fannie sold foreclosed homes for 73.8% of the underlying loan balance during the first quarter. That was up from 70.6% a year earlier but down for the second straight quarter.
4CREDIT THAW
Lenders have begun to ease credit standards slightly as loan production falls. Banks, though, are being “thoughtful and cautious in how they go about doing that,” said Mr. Mayopoulos. “The loans that people are delivering to us are of very high quality,” he added. The average credit score backed by Fannie stood at 740 at the end of March, down from 751 a year earlier. Some 1.8% of loans backed by Fannie had credit scores below 620, compared to 1% two years earlier.
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